Jo Swinson, the most unlikely leader of rebelling middle England, has tabled an amendment for a final say on Europe for a public vote on any deal the unelected British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, might bring back from Brussels.
Labor members would also push for the same according to New York Times with megaphone diplomacy continuing.
“Irish victory looks certain on Brexit,” shouts a local Irish paper. While Jeremy Corbyn, Labour’s leader, said he is “deeply concerned,” further adding:
“What I heard from the talks which are going on leads me to be deeply concerned that, in reality, there’s going to be a border in the Irish sea between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK and that the loss of the regulatory power of the European Union on consumer rights, on workers’ rights and so on, will lead to a trade deal with the United States and a mega-loss of rights. This is not a deal that we can support.”
It took mere days for loyalists in Northern Ireland to engage in some very undiplomatic megaphone diplomacy, but their elected are now holding the cards:
Frantic negotiations are on-goin while the Guardian reports: “As MPs gather in the House of Commons for an emergency weekend sitting to discuss Brexit, more than a million people are expected to mass outside parliament for a People’s Vote march.”
They quote an organizer as saying “it does look like it’s going to be a very, very large event, without any doubt one of the largest protests this country has ever seen.”
Film and TV director Armando Iannucci is paying for busses from Oxford to London with 172 coaches from up and down the country booked to arrive at the capital. While last time, when an estimated 2 million marched, it was 130 busses.
“Consent must be based on cross-community double majority. Deal will ‘diminish’ Northern Ireland Assembly. Customs checks will lead to ‘impediments’ to trade between Great Britain and Northern Ireland,” says a spokesman from DUP.
Both Brussels and Westminster are saying they need more time, but Johnson will have to ask for an extension if no deal passes parliament on Saturday.
Many speculate all this is just maneuvering for the blame game. They all want to be seen to be doing everything to get something, when they all probably know a deal is impossible unless Europe effectively annexes Northern Ireland or UK annexes Ireland.
Neither would be a good start to EU-UK relations, with chances now high that Boris comes back with nothing.
After more than three years of the entire United Kingdom being consumed with Brexit, at least some clarity may have finally been reached.
If UK wishes to leave it may have to do so without any Canada deal or Norway deal or indeed any deal. Even if a withdrawal agreement is reached, some say it would be the hardest Brexit ever with UK being more out of EU than even Canada.
A no deal exit is deeply unpopular. Theresa May’s deal, which is what Johnson would probably come back with if he gets anything, is even more unpopular.
Just 9% support the latter. It’s only 20% for the former. So there’s public will to stop both. The question being how.
If there’s a withdrawal agreement and a referendum is attached to it, then presumably there would have to be an extension as you can’t have a referendum in two weeks.
If there is no such agreement, then apparently they have the numbers for a no deal or remain final say.
Both are a gamble. Johnson would have the entire machinery of the state and unlike wimpy Cameron, he isn’t afraid to use it. Propaganda billboards have in fact already been put up across the country telling the public to prepare for Brexit, whatever that means.
There’s a good chance however remain would win because even nationalists might now be thinking this whole Brexit thing maybe wasn’t such a great idea.
The Break Up of United Kingdom
English nationalists arguably had implicit support by independents during the referendum because the war had to end by any means.
Although some claim the turnout was high, it was actually just 37% of the British public that voted. Millennials in general didn’t vote. Many in the centre just abstained.
Now things are very different because the war is hopefully over with the aim of sending a clear and loud warning so achieved.
So using that vote during a crisis to send Britain back to before the Act of Union, to risk a new Hadrian Wall with Scotland, to risk sending Northern Ireland into chaos, to potentially increase independence movements even in Cornwall and Wales, so breaking up the United Kingdom, is presumably something no one wants.
The brexiteers had their chance, three years when the public in general was happy to wait and see what they come up with, to see what this brexit means.
They now have the most brexit government ever, yet they probably can’t square a circle. Once that became obvious, there was a swing in public opinion, especially among independents.
So there will have to be a vote on deal or remain or no deal and remain, with EU now saying it’s too late to finalize any agreement at the summit. Meaning Johnson will have to ask for an extension. That would give time for a referendum. The people can then vote knowing full well just what exactly brexit means.
Then at least no one can claim some rich elite used a crisis to force a geopolitical structural change. They might do on the other side if remain narrowly wins, but leavers tend to be very old people so they won’t complain for long.
As far as this space is concerned, a United Europe can give jurisdictional competition to SEC’s discriminatory laws and investment prohibitions.
It still can without UK in it, but a satisfactory deal is very difficult if at all possible. So all the aspects need to be considered again in light of the new information in a final say where there can be a fully peaceful vote, unlike last time, and where the arguments for Europe and why UK would be more sovereign in Europe can be put to voters.